
#20559  09/23/04 11:44 PM
Pascal's Probability Theory and God's Exsistance

Junior Member
Registered: 08/10/04
Posts: 81
Loc: Tallahassee, FL, USA

ehem:
"for the sake of arguement, imagine for the moment that there's a 5050 change that God exsists. Now, choosing the [God] envelope is equivalent to choosing to be a devout [believer]. If you happen to choose this path there are two possibilities. If you are a faithful [believer] and there is no God, you just fade into nothingness when you die. But if there is a God, you got to heaven and live for eternity in bliss: infinity. So the expecte value of being a [believer] is:
1/2 chance of fading into nothing: 1/2 X 0 = 0 1/2 chance of going to heaven: 1/2 X infinity = infinity _________________________________________________________ Expectation = infinity
After all, half of infinity is still infinity. Thus, the value of being a [believer] is infinite. Now what happens if you are an athiest? If you are correct  there is no God  you gain nothing from being right. After all, if there is no God, there is no heaven. But if you are wrong and there is a God, you go to hell for an eternity: negative infinity. So the expected value of being an athiest is:
1/2 chance of fading into nothing: 1/2 X 0 = 0 1/2 chance of going to hell: 1/2 X negative infinity = negative infinity ____________________________________________________ Expectation = negative infinity
Negative infinity. The value is as bad as you can possibly get. The wise person would clearly choose [believing] instead of atheism.
But we made an assumption here  that there is a 5050 chance that God exsists. What happens if there is only a 1/1000 chance? That value of being a [believer] would be:
999/1000 chance of fading into nothing: 999/1000 X 0 = 0 1/1000 chance of going to heaven: 1/1000 X infinity = infinity __________________________________________________ Expectation = infinity
[Based on the properties of infinity] it's still the same." (Zero: the Biography of a Dangerous Idea, Seife)
I think that's the most interesting thing I've ever read.
_________________________
Freedom is the freedom to say that two plus two make four. If that is granted, all else follows. George Orwell

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#20561  09/24/04 12:59 AM
Re: Pascal's Probability Theory and God's Exsistance

Junior Member
Registered: 08/10/04
Posts: 81
Loc: Tallahassee, FL, USA

keep in mind that Pascal wrote and published that theorm in the 1600's, when infinity and zero were blasphemous ideas.
I think that's pretty creative a thought process, personally.
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Freedom is the freedom to say that two plus two make four. If that is granted, all else follows. George Orwell

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#20563  09/24/04 08:43 AM
Re: Pascal's Probability Theory and God's Exsistance

Member
Registered: 03/05/02
Posts: 524
Loc: Cornfields everywhere...

I question the logic of applying math to spiritual concepts...

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#20564  09/25/04 12:57 AM
Re: Pascal's Probability Theory and God's Exsistance

Registered: 06/16/03
Posts: 807
Loc: Wisconsin

i'll have to agree with infinite on this. Infinity is an idea and not a value, and although it is closley related to mathematics, the equations listed above are impossible, as you can not multiply, add, subract, divide, or do any other operations to it. infinity plus 2 is still infinity, things like that don't work. you can't apply mathematical operations to ideas such as infinity.

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#20565  09/26/04 04:01 AM
Re: Pascal's Probability Theory and God's Exsistance

UGN Security Staff
Registered: 03/06/02
Posts: 256
Loc: CA, USA

pfft, thats like this. Let X = .9 repeating multiply both sides by 10... 10x=9.9repeating subtract x 9x = 9 divide by 9... x = 1 ALSO, 0 / 0 is one, and x / 0 = 483749324 But, back to the subject, I don't like the idea of using this, because if you were going to write it in interval notation you'd write it [0,infinite) (you can't reach infinite... nor can you reach infinite +/* anything. uhm... yeah, anyway.... I'm atheist still.  edit  besides, why the fuck are you proving a BELEIF?

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#20566  09/26/04 04:51 AM
Re: Pascal's Probability Theory and God's Exsistance

Registered: 06/16/03
Posts: 807
Loc: Wisconsin

Man, the fact that your post is right neo, is messed up. Infinity is fucked up.
Anyways, as to the second part of your post...
x / 0 cannot be one because...
lets say x = 4 4/0 according to you can be anything so if 4/0 = 10 10 * 0 = 4 Does zero tens = 4? Hell no!

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#20569  10/04/04 02:39 AM
Re: Pascal's Probability Theory and God's Exsistance

Junior Member
Registered: 10/02/04
Posts: 21
Loc: Dunnellon Fl. i live on a rive...

lol i had 2 get my caculater... but i think belife in the after life and what not, and math should not be compared or mixed, whatever u did on ur post, ima gonna stay atheist, no matter what number u throw in my face.
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a friend will bail you out of jail, but a good friend will be in jail with you saying how sweet last night was.

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#20570  10/06/04 11:31 AM
Re: Pascal's Probability Theory and God's Exsistance

Junior Member
Registered: 10/04/04
Posts: 20
Loc: Funkytown

The name [belief] says it all. There is no proof that there is a "great beyond" or god or anything of the sort, that is why it is called a belief. But if there were proof there was a god, then it would be called a fact. But then if it was a fact, we wouldn't be here discussing weather or not we should do what, when, and how we should do it....wait...what were we talking about again?
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Yes, I am a criminal. My crime is that of curiosity. My crime is that of judging people by what they say and think, not what they look like. My crime is that of outsmarting you, something that you will never forgive me for.
I am a hacker, and this is my manifesto.
+++The Mentor+++

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