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#38096 - 12/05/02 02:48 PM
Re: Flying Cars By The End Of The Decade?
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DollarDNS Owner
Registered: 03/04/02
Posts: 1273
Loc: OH, USA
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Drake, you said something that I wanna comment on. You and a lot of the educated populace say that flying is safer than driving. You guy point out statistics about how there's more deaths and accidents involved in car wrecks than in plane wrecks.
However, what I say to that is, there's a heck of a lot more people driving around than flying around. So naturally there'll be more car wrecks than plane wrecks. However, that doesn't mean the RATIO is greater with cars. Cars may be considered safer cause the ratio between number of cars, and number or wrecks would be fewer, then the ratio between number of plane flights and number of plane wrecks.
In case I was confusing, here's an example:
Number of cars = 1000 Number of wrecks = 100
Number of planes = 100 Number of wrecks = 20
Now see, there's 100 car wrecks and 20 plane wrecks a year. planes are safer? no, cause you've got a 10% chance of getting in a car wreck, and 20% chance of getting in a plane wreck.
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#38099 - 12/11/02 02:28 PM
Re: Flying Cars By The End Of The Decade?
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Member
Registered: 05/17/02
Posts: 189
Loc: Here
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but also one of the reasons people like to drive as opposed to fly is because they like to be in control of the vehicle so if they had the opportunity to own their own aricraft they might go for it, but as far as people being afraid to fly if a car crashes in some cases you have a chance to survive but when you fall from 20,000 feet..
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Just because I dont care doesn't mean that I don't understand. -Homer Simpson
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#38105 - 12/12/02 09:27 PM
Re: Flying Cars By The End Of The Decade?
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Der Übeltäter
Registered: 03/01/02
Posts: 860
Loc: KCRQ
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Without statistics for driving hours, I don't think I can argue this convincingly, nor can you. My point was that airline travel is very safe. You did, however, catch my hyperbole with lightning strikes.  I really don't know the statistics on that; I was merely exaggerating. I thought you of all people would catch on. Another consideration that you must take into account is that pilots are much more highly skilled in their field compared to the average driver on a highway. Personally, I spent a solid 6 months of very hard work earning my pilot's license, and that was to merely fly small aircraft. Also, maintenance of aircraft is strictly regulated. For most operations (including airline), each aircraft must be thoroughly inspected every 100 hours of flight time, and pass a very strict annual inspection. Also, any time a pilot notices a discrepency, the aircraft is taken off of the line and fixed. As a pilot, I know from first-hand experience how safe flying is. I'm comfortable up there...it's a mad house down here.
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#38106 - 12/12/02 09:34 PM
Re: Flying Cars By The End Of The Decade?
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Member
Registered: 05/17/02
Posts: 189
Loc: Here
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well couldnt all that hard work and training also be used against flying cars, now flying may be safe, but it takes a skilled pilot and well checked maintance...and just like you said the average highway driver isnt as skilled at what they are doing, so wouldnt an aircraft for everyone just be plain dangerous?
(kinda trying to get back on the topic of flying cars here)
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Just because I dont care doesn't mean that I don't understand. -Homer Simpson
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#38107 - 12/13/02 04:15 AM
Re: Flying Cars By The End Of The Decade?
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UGN Elite
   
Registered: 12/03/02
Posts: 3255
Loc: Maryland
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When cars first came about, it was belived that if you went over 30 mph the skin on your face would rip off.
When 30 mph was broken many belived women lacked the attention span to drive.
Many people never belived humans would fly
It's like this people, people will adapt. people can learn. There would have to be a whole new set of guidelines and licensing procedure, but if flying cars came out (scary as it may be) people would buy them and learn to fly them.
Look at how advance scociety has become in the last century. We went from just starting to use electricity, and motors to the fast paced scociety we have today. Now the reason this is impresive is look at technology evolution in the centuries before that.
This will speed up, people will adapt, we will see some awsome things in our life time.
1802 till 2002, think about it. When looking at that, do you realy find it so hard to belive? Look at what the average person did in 1802. the average home didn't even have power or running water. Many still went to the well and out house. Car... ha ha ha ha.
Now look at us. Look at what your parents had and did when they were kids, then look at yourself. As technology advances, it will do so quicker than before, and people will step up and meet the challenge. I would not be surprised to see flying cars replace cars of today.
As far as fule,
The U.S. army uses a speacial brand of desile for their aircraft called JP8. There is much that could be done to use the same fule we use now, hell 100 octane is pretty powerful.
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